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Signal Watch Dashboard

Nine categories to review once a month. Score each one Green, Amber or Red. Three or more at Amber is the Convergence Signal.

Signal Watch Reference (PDF, 4 pages)

How to run it, the nine categories, the escalation protocol, and the indicator definitions quoted from the book.

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How to run it

1. Once a month, set aside about thirty minutes.
2. Review each category against public data.
3. Mark each category Green, Amber or Red.
4. Count the categories at Amber or above. Three or more is the Convergence Signal.
5. Apply the escalation protocol in the reference.

The nine categories

1. Economic · growth divergence, ICOR, local debt, property
2. Demographic · working-age population, dependency ratio, pensions
3. Dollar System · SWIFT volumes, correspondent terminations, Section 311
4. Alternative Architecture · CIPS, mBridge, digital yuan, middle-power rails
5. Treasury Market · yield curve, auction demand, foreign holdings
6. Supply Chain · MOFCOM queues, qualification timelines, displacement
7. Military-Political · command changes, political milestones, Scenario D
8. Asymmetric Vector · AI scoring, ESG manipulation, agentic AI milestones
9. Ethical Exposure · UFLPA, OFAC SDN, CBP WRO, CECC, Global South ESG

A standing tenth monitor, Comparable Western Pressures, reads the same way on the Western side. It is in the reference.

Published readings

No reading has been published yet. When one is, it will be listed here with its publication date.

Ran it on your own data?

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Use note: a tool for structured assessment. It records your own judgments and is not advice. The reference carries the book's investment and securities terms.

The full toolkit is on the toolkit page.